Nava Manshadi
Personal Real Estate Corporation
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September 13, 2018

Commercial real estate sales down, prices up in the Lower Mainland

The commercial real estate market in the Lower Mainland continued to see fewer transactions in the second quarter (Q2) of 2018 compared to recent years.

There were 569 commercial real estate sales in the Lower Mainland in Q2 2018, a 16.3 per cent decrease over the 680 sales in Q2 2017, according to data from Commercial Edge, a commercial real estate system operated by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV).

The total dollar value of commercial real estate sales in the Lower Mainland was $4.047 billion in Q2 2018, a 13.4 per cent increase over $3.570 billion in Q2 2017.

“Similar to our residential market in recent months, we’re starting to see fewer transactions across all categories in our commercial market,” Phil Moore, REBGV president said. “Higher interest rates, reduced retail activity, and other economic factors are contributing to this change.”

Q2 2018 activity by category

Land: There were 217 commercial land sales in Q2 2018, which is a 16.5 per cent decrease from the 260 land sales in Q2 2017. The dollar value of land sales was $2.287 billion in Q2 2018, a 24.6 per cent increase over $1.836 billion in Q2 2017.

Office and Retail: There were 192 office and retail sales in the Lower Mainland in Q2 2018, which is down 20 per cent from the 240 sales in Q2 2017. The dollar value of office and retail sales was $813 million in Q2 2018, a 19.7 per cent decrease from $1.013 billion in Q2 2017.

Industrial: There were 126 industrial land sales in the Lower Mainland in Q2 2018, which is down 6.7 per cent from the 135 sales in Q2 2017. The dollar value of industrial sales was $0.387 billion in Q2 2018, a 23.9 per cent increase over $313 million in Q2 2017.

Multi-Family: There were 34 multi-family land sales in the Lower Mainland in Q2 2018, which is down 24.4 per cent from the 45 sales in Q2 2017. The dollar value of multi-family sales was $559 million in Q2 2018, a 37 per cent increase over $408 million in Q2 2017.

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Home buyer demand stays below historical averages in August

The Metro Vancouver* housing market continues to experience reduced demand across all housing types.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,929 in August 2018, a 36.6 per cent decrease from the 3,043 sales recorded in August 2017, and a 6.8 per cent decline compared to July 2018 when 2,070 homes sold.

Last month’s sales were 25.2 per cent below the 10-year August sales average.

“Home buyers have been less active in recent months and we’re beginning to see prices edge down for all housing types as a result,” Phil Moore, REBGV president said. “Buyers today have more listings to choose from and face less competition than we’ve seen in our market in recent years.”

There were 3,881 detached, attached and apartment homes newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in August 2018. This represents an 8.6 per cent decrease compared to the 4,245 homes listed in August 2017 and an 18.6 per cent decrease compared to July 2018 when 4,770 homes were listed.

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 11,824, a 34.3 per cent increase compared to August 2017 (8,807) and a 2.6 per cent decrease compared to July 2018 (12,137).

The sales-to-active listings ratio for August 2018 is 16.3 per cent. By housing type, the ratio is 9.2 per cent for detached homes, 19.4 per cent for townhomes, and 26.6 per cent for apartments.

Generally, analysts say that downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below the 12 per cent mark for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With fewer buyers active in the market, benchmark prices across all three housing categories have declined for two consecutive months across the region,” Moore said.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,083,400. This represents a 4.1 per cent increase over August 2017 and a 1.9 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Sales of detached properties in August 2018 reached 567, a 37.1 per cent decrease from the 901 detached sales recorded in August 2017. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,561,000. This represents a 3.1 per cent decrease from August 2017 and a 2.8 per cent decrease since May 2018. Sales of apartment properties reached 1,025 in August 2018, 36.5 per cent decrease compared to the 1,613 sales in August 2017. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $695,500. This represents a 10.3 per cent increase from August 2017 and a 1.6 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Attached property sales in August 2018 totalled 337, a 36.3 per cent decrease compared to the 529 sales in August 2017. The benchmark price of an attached unit is $846,100. This represents a 7.9 per cent increase from August 2017 and a 0.8 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Download the August 2018 stats package

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